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Experts Aren't Always Right |
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"Well-informed people know it is impossible to transmit
the voice over wires and that were it possible to do so, the thing
would be of no practical values."
- Editorial in the Boston Post, 1865
"The phonograph is not of any commercial value."
- Thomas Edison, 1880
"I think there is a world market for about five computers."
-Thomas J. Watson, chair of IBM, 1943
"No possible combination of known substances, known forms
of machinery and known forms of force can be united in a practical
machine by which men shall fly long distances through the air."
- Simon Newcomb, early 1900's
"The horse is here to stay, but the automobile is only
a noveltya fad."
- President of the Michigan Savings bank, early 1900's
"It is an idle dream to imagine that automobiles will
take the place of railways in the long distance movement ofpassengers."
- American Road Congress, 1913
"Ruth made a great mistake when he gave up pitching. Working
once a week he might have lasted a long time and become a great
star."
- Tris Speaker
"Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?"
- Harry Warner, Warner Brothers Pictures, 1927
"No Civil War picture ever made a nickel." [on film
rights to Gone With the Wind ]
- Irving Thalberg, MGM executive
"This is the biggest fool thing we have ever donethe [atomic]
bomb will never go off, and I speak as an expert in explosives."
[Commenting to Truman about the Manhattan Project]
-Adm. Bill Leahy, 1945
"People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box
every night." [commenting on television]
- Daryl F. Zanuck, Head of 20th Century Fox, 1946
"Can't act. Slightly bald. Can dance a little." [Reacting
to Fred Astaire's screen test]
- RKO executive
"Space travel is utter bilge."
- Dr. Richard van der Riet Wolley, 1956
"They just don't have the right stuff. " [Upon turning
down the Beatles for a recording contract.]
- Decca Records executive
"They couldn't hit an elephant at this dist..." [Last
words]
- Civil War General Sedgwick
"There is no reason for any individual to have a computer
in their home."
- Ken Olsen, president of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977
"There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy
will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have
to be shattered at will."
· Albert Einstein, 1932
"Let me tell you something about this AIDS epidemic. There
is not one single case of AIDS reported in this country that cannot
be traced in origin to sodomy."
· Senator. Jesse Helms, October, 1988
"Forget it, Louis, no Civil War picture ever made a nickel."
· Irving Thalberg's warning to Louis B. Mayer regarding
Gone With the Wind
"What can be more palpably absurd than the prospect held
out of locomotives traveling twice as fast as stagecoaches?
· The Quarterly Review, England, 1825
"He'll never be any good."
· Robert Irsay, owner of the Baltimore Colts,
trading newly drafted quarterback John Elway to the Denver Broncos,
1983
"The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only
a novelty, a fad, a passing fancy."
· President of the Michigan Savings Bank to Henry For's
lawyer
"While television may be theoretically feasible, commercially
and financially I consider it an impossibility, a development
of which we need waste little time dreaming."
· Le DeForest, American radio pioneer, 1926
"We did not conceive it possible that even Mr. Lincoln
would produce a paper so slipshod, so loose-joined, so puerile,
not alone in literary construction, but in its ideas, its sentiments,
its grasp. He has outdone himself. He has literally come out of
the little end of his own horn. By the side of it, mediocrity
is superb."
· The Chicago Times, 1863, ccommenting on the Gettysburg
Address
"Television won't last. It's a flash in the pan."
· Mary Sommerville, Radio Technologist and Pioneer, 1948
"I have traveled the length and breadth of this county
and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data
processing is a fad that won't last out the year."
· Business book editor, Prentice Hall, late 1970's